VANCOUVER, BC – February 2, 2024 – While the Metro Vancouver market ended 2023 in balanced market territory, conditions in January began shifting back in favour of sellers as the pace of newly listed properties did not keep up with the jump in home sales. 

The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) reports that residential sales in the region totalled 1,427 in January 2024, a 38.5 per cent increase from the 1,030 sales recorded in January 2023. This was 20.2 per cent below the 10-year seasonal average (1,788).

“It’s hard to believe that January sales figures came in so strong after such a quiet December, which saw many buyers and sellers delaying major decisions,” Andrew Lis, REBGV’s director of economics and data analytics said. “If sellers don’t step off the sidelines soon, the competition among buyers could tilt the market back into sellers’ territory as the available inventory struggles to keep pace with demand.” 

There were 3,788 detached, attached and apartment properties newly listed for sale on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in Metro Vancouver in January 2024. This represents a 14.5 per cent increase compared to the 3,308 properties listed in January 2023. This was 9.1 per cent below the 10-year seasonal average (4,166). 

The total number of properties currently listed for sale on the MLS® system in Metro Vancouver is 8,633, a 9.8 per cent increase compared to January 2023 (7,862). This is 0.3 per cent below the 10-year seasonal average (8,657).

Across all detached, attached and apartment property types, the sales-to-active listings ratio for January 2024 is 17.2 per cent. By property type, the ratio is 11.9 per cent for detached homes, 22.9 per cent for attached, and 19.9 per cent for apartments. 

Analysis of the historical data suggests downward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio dips below 12 per cent for a sustained period, while home prices often experience upward pressure when it surpasses 20 per cent over several months. 

“Our 2024 forecast is calling for a two to three per cent increase in prices by the end of the year, which is largely the result of demand, once again, butting up against too little inventory,” Lis said. “If the January figures are indicative of what the spring market has in store, our forecast may already be off to an overly conservative start. Markets can shift quickly, however, and we’ll watch the February numbers to see if these early signs of strength continue, or whether they’re a blip in the data.” 

The MLS® Home Price Index composite benchmark price for all residential properties in Metro Vancouver is currently $1,161,300. This represents a 4.2 per cent increase over January 2023 and a 0.6 per cent decrease compared to December 2023

Sales of detached homes in January 2024 reached 379, a 28 per cent increase from the 296 detached sales recorded in January 2023. The benchmark price for a detached home is $1,942,400. This represents a 7.3 per cent increase from January 2023 and a 1.1 per cent decrease compared to December 2023.

Sales of apartment homes reached 746 in January 2024, a 30.6 per cent increase compared to the 571 sales in January 2023. The benchmark price of an apartment home is $751,900. This represents a 4.4 per cent increase from January 2023 and a 0.1 per cent increase compared to December 2023.

Attached home sales in January 2024 totalled 285, an 82.7 per cent increase compared to the 156 sales in January 2023. The benchmark price of a townhouse3 is $1,066,700. This represents a 4.3 per cent increase from January 2023 and a 0.6 per cent decrease compared to December 2023.

1. Editor’s Note: Areas covered by the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver include: Bowen Island, Burnaby, Coquitlam, Maple Ridge, New Westminster, North Vancouver, Pitt Meadows, Port Coquitlam, Port Moody, Richmond, South Delta, Squamish, Sunshine Coast, Vancouver, West Vancouver, and Whistler.

2. REBGV is now including multifamily and land sales and listings in this monthly report. Previously, we only included detached, attached, and apartment sales, and these additional categories, which typically account for roughly one to two per cent of total MLS® activity per month, are being included for completeness in our reporting.

3. In calculating the MLS® HPI, Altus Group uses a narrower definition of “attached” properties than is used by REBGV in our “attached” statistics, preferring to use “townhouse” as their benchmark property.

The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver is an association representing more than 15,000 REALTORS® and their companies. The Board provides a variety of member services, including the Multiple Listing Service®. For more information on real estate, statistics, and buying or selling a home, contact a local REALTOR® or visit www.rebgv.org.

For more information please contact

Craig Munn V.P.,
Communication and Events Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver
604.730.3146
cmunn@rebgv.org

SURREY, BC – The Fraser Valley real estate market showed signs of recovery in January as home sales rose after six consecutive months of decline, and new listings more than doubled. 

The Fraser Valley Real Estate Board recorded 938 transactions on its Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in January, a 12 per cent increase over December and below the 10-year average for sales in the region. 

At 2,368, new listings increased 151 per cent in January, rebounding strongly from the seasonal lull seen in December. This is the largest month-over-month percentage increase in new listings in five years. 

“With January sales on the rise, we are seeing hopeful signs that optimism is returning to the market,” said Narinder Bains, Chair of the Fraser Valley Real Estate Board. “Anticipating that we may be at the end of the Bank of Canada rate hike cycle, it appears that more buyers are considering re-entering the market as we are starting to see more traffic at open houses.”

Active listings in January were 4,877, up by 4 per cent over last month and up by 18 per cent over January 2023. The sales-to-active listings ratio was 19 per cent, representing balanced conditions in the overall market. Detached houses are in balanced market territory at 19 per cent, while both townhomes and apartments remain in seller’s market territory at 34 and 27 per cent respectively. The market is considered balanced when the ratio is between 12 per cent and 20 per cent.

“Current balanced market conditions present opportunities for both buyers and sellers,” said FVREB CEO, Baldev Gill. “In today’s market, buyers and sellers have time to get preapprovals, put together offers and take the time needed to work through the purchase or sale of a home with the help of a knowledgeable and professional REALTOR®.”

The average number of days homes are spending on the market has been increasing since October, with single family detached homes spending 44 days on the market, apartments spending 41 days on the market and townhomes moving more quickly at 33 days. 

Overall Benchmark prices continued to edge downward for the sixth month in a row, losing less than half a per cent from December, and down six per cent from the 12-month peak in July.

MLS® HPI Benchmark Price Activity

• Single Family Detached: At $1,466,100, the Benchmark price for an FVREB single-family detached home decreased 0.4 per cent compared to December 2023 and increased 8.6 per cent compared to January 2023.
  
• Townhomes: At $825,600, the Benchmark price for an FVREB townhome decreased 0.1 per cent compared to December 2023 and increased 6.9 per cent compared to January 2023.
• Apartments: At $539,700, the Benchmark price for an FVREB apartment/condo increased 0.4 per cent compared to December 2023 and increased 6.5 per cent compared to January 2023.